MITEI big plans for a Global Energy Future 22nd January, 2009

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MITEI big plans for a Global Energy Future 22nd January, 2009
01.27.09 (10:57 pm)   [edit]
Instrumental temperature record of the last 15...

Pretensions attended a public symposium given by various members of MITEI, the MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) Energy Initiative last Wednesday. MITEI is an interdisciplinary research programme involving 16 faculty members drawn from the various schools of MIT – they have been tasked to see how MIT could best tackle the global energy crisis. MITEI was first announced by current MIT President Susan Hockfield during her inauguration in 2005.

MIT and two universities in Singapore have had an ongoing research collaboration since 1998, the Singapore-MIT Alliance (SMA) although P gathers that the-powers-that-be have not been wildly impressed with the results thereof. As a student-training collaboration however, it seems to have worked somewhat better. Whatever the rationale behind SMA, it has at least established the presence of the US’s top technological university in the region, and probably helped justify the presence of several top MIT professors in our small island-state for the symposium.

Ernest Moniz at the podium Prof. Ernest Moniz, the Director of MITEI and former US undersecretary of Energy during the Clinton administration gave a clear and concise overview of the rationale for MITEI and its goals. Foreseeing the coming global energy crisis (just keep watching the price of oil), MITEI was developed to partner MIT’s blue-skies research with interested industry partners who might be able to create viable energy-related products.  Of course, there is an overt political agenda to MITEI’s seeming altruism (see the next slide on the right – the speech bubble read “It’s time we end foreign oil dependency!”).

However, Moniz made several good points about the need for capping carbon emissions and that even the much vaunted 550 parts per million target may still be too high. We are talking about a 2-4 degree temperature rise in most scenarios and even the present half-a-degree rise has already had visible impact on most of the world’s climates.

Moniz also worked the audience through the sliding scale of global warming by showing us two roulette wheels. The left wheel would represent the probability of catastrophic 6-8 degrees celsius (in red) warming if the US carried on the way it has. The roulette wheel on the right represents the results of meeting the 550ppm carbon dioxide target – it dramatically lowers the chances of extreme temperature rise.

However the magic 550 cannot be reached only with efficiency gains, it would also require a 40% demand reduction. The US currently emits 25 billion tonnes of CO2 every year. A carbon tax would put pressure on industry to optimise efficiency and might curb demand – Moniz made the point that funding for the innovations required could be recycled into society with no impact on the US GDP. Industry is not the only culprit however, 70% of US electricity goes to supply residential and commercial buildings; a lot also goes to transport.

Hence key technological pathways to respond effectively to the energy crisis would include:

  • Alternative transport – fuels & vehicles
  • Carbon-free electricity – nuclear, coal, renewables
  • Unconventional hydrocarbon supplies
  • Research on energy delivery systems and energy storage
  • Managing global climate change – mitigation, adaptation and re-engineering

Key MIT academics then stood up to explore each pathway.

Prof. Greg Stephanopoulos spoke about biofuels. Despite a lot of ragging from the audience about sacrificing food for fuel, the professor spoke eloquently about the possibilities of microbial synthesis of ethanol. Basically, yeast already does a great job of synthesizing ethanol for consumption – it’s called beer and all it needs to get started is some sugar. Unfortunately yeast doesn’t have a very high tolerance for the toxic ethanol product, which is why you have to drink a lot of beer to get wasted. Prof. Stephanopoulos is looking at developing microbes that could use agricultural waste, wood chips and stover to produce ethanol and would have a higher tolerance to ethanol than yeast would. He already has a microbe that can accumulate 60g/l of ethanol in about 3 days worth of fermentation.

Dr Tonio Buonassisi spoke about current research on solar energy which has been crippled by its high cost relative to traditional fossil fuel-generated electricity.  Another problem with solar has been its need for a large surface area of solar cells which has meant that it cannot serve the primary energy needs of urban residents. Buonassisi  had calculated that the cost of producing solar cells could be lowered by 20% simply by doubling production. Also Seville’s solar tower (see right), a 300 foot tower surrounded by 624 solar panels has been in operation since 2007, happily powering 60,000 homes in the Spanish town.

Prof. Gerd Ceder spoke about the use of thermoelectrics to power cars and the development of plug-in hybrid vehicles that can choose to take energy from fossil fuels or directly from the grid. His lab uses high-throughput computing methods to screen for useful new materials.

Prof. Leslie Norford told us about energy efficient buildings and the combination of traditional knowhow with modern technology. Eg for tropical buildings, large doors and windows combined with thick walls and a central airwell obviate the need for air-conditioning. Germany’s passive houses have special tight construction and a 2-3 times as much insulation as a regular house, resulting in astoundingly low heating costs. A Passivhaus built in Illinois had a US$35 heating bill for the entire month of January!

Masdar City in Abu Dhabi, Saudi Arabia is currently in the planning stage. It will be the world’s first zero-waste, zero-emissions city. Here is the propaganda, uhm, PR video.

We have a choice, and P for one, hopes that the US and the world choose to invest in the future. Enough time’s been wasted by the Bush administration already – P hopes Obama acts decisively on energy conservation and doesn’t use the economy as the ultimate excuse…

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posted by: Ladyg (reply)
post date: 01.27.09 (8:15 am)

Very informative, thanks for sharing P.



posted by: alaskawildflowers (reply)
post date: 01.27.09 (9:49 am)

sobering information, it is. I am hopeful that pres. Obama will do the right thing-- and T Boone Pickens, and the rest of us.



posted by: barnabus1 (reply)
post date: 01.27.09 (1:03 pm)

Try air car at google the zero pollution motors...smaller air supply gets over 1000 miles on a fill of air...and at speeds up to 90MPH (145) KPH haha how they gonna tax air???



posted by: Kram1000 (reply)
post date: 01.28.09 (3:17 am)

Personally I think this carbon tax thing is just duck shoving. (point the stick here, they go over there. point the stick there they go over here) they are still in the same pen.
You watch, in twenty years time after all the complicated systems, monitoring and taxing. The whole thing will fall in a heap like this current financial crisis and all the so called smart guys running around wringing their hands saying I don't know how this could of happened, why didn't it work? why did it go wrong? oh oh!. Billions will have been invested, the little guy will get taxed for every little co2 atom that gets released and the big companies and the men who run them will make millions from supposedly being co2 compliant.
I cant understand why people are so afraid of nuclear power. Apparently the base load requirements for Sydney for one year would leave enough enough enriched uranium waste product to fit into a 2.5m x 2.5m room. (As Big as a bed room say). Where as every ton of coal releases (I forget how much) Tons and tons of co2 into the atmosphere, plus a few thousand tons of flyash. They used to say that the uranium waste product would be radioactive for millions of years. The last I heard with current technology it was 240000 years. Who knows with the large hadron collider it may come down to 240 years.
Has any biological research been done into plants or trees that are more effective at taking the co2 out of the air? If we could farm effective trees instead of methane producing cows, that could grow super fast and lock up the co2 into a good solid building product. That would be worthwhile. Instead they seem to invest in geneticly modified food crops (that we virtually have to consume)and again we will find out in 30, 40 50, years time. Oh Oh how did this go wrong?
Sorry P. I'm ranting! LOL




posted by: pretensions (reply)
post date: 01.28.09 (3:25 am)

Reply to: Ladyg

Glad you enjoyed it, LadyG!




posted by: pretensions (reply)
post date: 01.28.09 (3:25 am)

Reply to: alaskawildflowers

Hi alaskawildflowers, well stopping pretending that its not happening would be a great start....




posted by: pretensions (reply)
post date: 01.28.09 (3:27 am)

Reply to: barnabus1

Hi Barnabus, I think the idea behind the carbon tax is to reduce pollution/carbon emissions. No need to tax alternative energy/transport, in fact I think they're trying to put in place incentives to encourage it!



posted by: pretensions (reply)
post date: 01.28.09 (3:41 am)

Reply to: Kram1000

Hi Kram, I'm with you on the Nuclear Power. I managed to corral Moniz during lunchbreak and ask a whole lot of questions. One thing we discussed was the bad press on nuclear power, three mile island, safety and so forth. He personally felt that the nuclear safety issue was way overhyped and with modern automation (not the antiquated system they had at Chernobyl), commercial nuclear power actually has a very good track record. I know that Japanese nuclear plants have functioned very efficiently and safely for years and even the recent earthquake didn't cause any human contamination.

I think the carbon tax and incentives for efficiency are just carrot and stick to make big industry players & the average joe think of something beyond bank balances and paying off their stockholders. Most people in the world today are still playing ostrich and I include myself in that number 70% of the time. Remember that Moniz did say that the 550ppm carbon dioxide reduction cannot be achieved with increasing efficiency alone - it also requires a 40% demand reduction and that's where the tax comes in.

Singapore is an example of a country that has practically zero crime largely due to lots of punitive fines levied on minor offences. Eg, littering = $1000 fine. Visitors to this island-state always comment on how clean the streets are. Or think of Giuliani's zero tolerance policy in New York. Some punitive measures do work even if the population at large resents it.



posted by: Kram1000 (reply)
post date: 01.29.09 (5:05 am)

Reply to: pretensions
Hi P
I don't think the population at large resents it. Its the large companies that resent it that are making products detrimental not to our society but to our world. "They" resent it because they may have to be shut down. The general populace at large are willing to take it on the chin if some of our leaders show a little leadership.

Think about it. It has been the hottest start to the summer that I can remember for ages here. You are talking a 2 to 4 degree temperature rise. Air conditioning sales are going through the roof. (forget the efficiency gains, They aint gaining fast enough) More power consumption, more co2, that's not cutting back, that's increasing. Ban them I say:, For anyone but hospitals and the elderly.
Lets cut down on air travel. Is it really so essential?, or is it a luxury product? We have the internet plus web cams these days, 747,s burn an absolute ton of fuel. Two trips per life time should be the limit. (LOL I say tongue in cheek) . Motor racing, yes a lot of R&D comes from it, is it for keen and lean or is it mainly for big, bold and boastful?
There are many aspects of our wasteful society that I just shake my head at. People are so soft today. Our ancestors never had air con, cars etcetera. While we should never and cant go back to a more primitive life. Uninhibited and unchained consumerism and commercialism is unhealthy.
Unfortunately when I see the indifferent attitudes around me I think, why should I self sacrifice when nobody around me is? So I continue to be a power pig and an unfettled consumer.
(Sorry to roll of the tracks, it was an interesting post).
PS I am still not totally convinced that the annual temperature rising isn't a pre ice age event. Only time will tell,





posted by: pretensions (reply)
post date: 02.03.09 (7:23 am)

Reply to: Kram1000

Hi Kram, just been arguing the other side of this with Barnabus. The problem is that by the time we're absolutely sure what the temp is doing, it's probably going to be a little late to do anything about it. I also agree with you about cutting down on non-essentials but it's really hard to go without voluntarily. My office has been deprived of air-conditioning over the last 2 weeks because the central compressor broke down and everyone's been on holiday. We still have the units in the offices, but the meeting rooms have been like deoxygenated sweat boxes and noone's been able to use them in the 30C, 90% humidity weather we have. Things were fine when we built low rise houses with central airwells and thick walls, but nowadays everything is a sealed plexiglass tower that becomes a glasshouse without air-conditioning.



posted by: Kram1000 (reply)
post date: 02.04.09 (4:53 am)

Yep your exactly right.
You said it. "But"........... nowadays. You are like me and everyone else. Not prepared to go back. What price for paradise?

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